Tuesday, June 26, 2012

Forest Lake MN 5/28/12

Trying to get caught up on some of my chase logs since things are going to be quiet for a bit.

Probably the shortest chase of the season for me. A small line of storms formed out to the west and gave some appearance of intensifying if it met a more favorable environment which happened to be just to the NE of the cities.












Love when things come together right in your backyard. Even when they don't produce. As they say:

"Nothing Ventured, Nothing Gained"

15 minutes after pulling the trigger, I was sitting in a parking lot just off I35 waiting for the approaching cells. One portion which ended up passing right over me, showed the most possibility with a fair amount of updraft associated with the line.


Certainly gave me reason to hang for a bit. Unfortunately, the gut was telling me it wasn't going to produced given the lack of local shear to get things spinning.


I did decide to follow the movement of the storm briefly but, Forest Lake ended that choice quickly by cutting out a lot of east travel options. I did note a rather brief funnel over the lake but it dissipated so quickly as to be non-reportable. And I wasn't in a position to record it so, as the rules state: "It didn't happen" 

As I said, Probably a total of 90 Minutes start to finish for this chase. More often than not, these bust quickly. But for that small percentage of time they don't? well, I would've had it all to myself.

That day is coming. I can feel it.

Thursday, June 14, 2012

Storms Entering the Metro

Will bring a focus to a greater severe weather threat this afternoon. Keep tuned to media throughout the day for watches and possible warnings.

Wednesday, June 13, 2012

Central MN 06/10/12 Slight Risk


Well, this one was a coin flip. North or South. Models were hinting at initiation north earlier in the day as the cold front slipped in from the Dakotas. So I decided to hedge my bet and while focusing for a northern storm, give myself an out for a South/West reroute.

Highway 10 became my initial route while eyeballing Milaca MN as my target for initiation. As I proceeded up MN Hwy 10, it appeared that initation would occur west of my position so, rather than travel up Hwy 169 as originally planned, I dove across to Hwy 94 from Big Lake.

As I continued up 94, the cells originally observed on radar came and went. Chose to sit for a bit in St. Cloud MN to see how things would firm up. Towers began to appear to my west giving me some hope I'd made the right choice.

I decided to continue with my original plan of parking in Milaca MN as the line progressed eastward letting the line come to me and maybe lessen the driving a bit. As predicted, the storm mode began as broken line segments but within an hour or so began to line out. I was really hoping for cells to hold together separately for longer but, I took the gamble and lost that bid.

I ended my wait in Milaca and took off North to grab a part of the line that appeared to be intensifying. By this time it was pretty clear my chase day was over for seeing any tornadoes but maybe I could salvage it grabbing some structure and lightning shots. Grabbed a nice 6 shot panel as what remained of this cell approached me in Benton County at MN25 and Co. Rd 12.




And in my driveway later as the line came over the metro, I grabbed these shots:



Sunday, June 10, 2012

06/10/12 MN Slight Risk


Looking at the models this AM, I just don't see where this 5% is coming from. I'm going to sit on this for a bit. Since the models hint at action in N/NW MN, I know I'm taking a risk at missing the show...